Firi Weekly: Clarity Act var ikke nok til at redde kryptomarkedet

Firi Weekly: The Clarity Act Wasn’t Enough to Save the Crypto Market

  • Macroeconomic Pressure Hits Crypto:
    • Rising energy prices, inflation concerns, and a jump in long-term U.S. Treasury yields, largely due to the war in the Middle East, weighed on crypto despite positive regulatory progress in the U.S.
  • Clarity Act Advances:
    • The U.S. Senate Banking Committee approved the Clarity Act last week, moving crypto regulation closer to a full Senate vote. This was positive for crypto, but several major hurdles remain before the bill can pass the Senate.
  • Tokenization Gains Momentum:
    • Three of the largest U.S. financial institutions, JPMorgan, BlackRock, and Fidelity, announced or launched tokenized funds last week in a market that has already gained significant traction this year. It certainly appears that if stablecoins were the trend of 2025, tokenization is the trend of 2026.
  • UK Rethinks Stablecoin Rules:
    • The Bank of England may ease proposed stablecoin limits, including the £20,000 holding cap and 40% reserve requirement, to support digital-finance competitiveness.

Last Week’s Big Three

The Clarity Act Moves Closer to a Senate Vote: Last Thursday, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee voted on the Clarity Act. This followed positive news from a few weeks earlier, when U.S. banks and crypto firms finally reached a compromise on whether stablecoins should be allowed to pay interest or rewards.

The bill is expected to bring clearer regulation to the U.S. crypto industry. Among other things, it could strengthen customer protections, improve operating conditions for crypto businesses, and make it easier for traditional financial institutions to engage more deeply with crypto.

The Clarity Act passed the Senate Banking Committee by 15 votes to 9. The legislation now moves toward a merger with a similar bill that was approved earlier by the Senate Agriculture Committee. It may then be revised before a final version is sent to the full Senate for a vote, followed by a final vote in the U.S. House of Representatives.

It is also notable that two Democratic senators voted to advance the bill in the Senate Banking Committee. That matters because the bill will likely need bipartisan support when it comes before the full Senate. The Democratic senators who voted in favor were Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks. However, Alsobrooks stressed that several issues still need to be resolved before she can support the Clarity Act in the Senate, including how publicly elected officials may use crypto, including for their own financial benefit.

That means the Clarity Act still faces meaningful obstacles. Even so, clearing the Senate Banking Committee last week was a clear step in the right direction.

Tokenization Is Emerging as 2026’s Defining Crypto Theme: If stablecoins were the crypto word of 2025, after their substantial growth last year, tokenization increasingly appears to be the crypto word of 2026. Tokenization means issuing traditional assets, such as equities, commodities, and debt, on public blockchains. Once these instruments are issued on blockchains such as Ethereum or Solana, they can be traded and used across a broader ecosystem of decentralized applications.

Last week alone, JPMorgan, BlackRock, and Fidelity, three of the largest U.S. financial institutions, announced or launched tokenized funds. JPMorgan will launch the JPMorgan OnChain Liquidity Token Money Market Fund, a fund designed for stablecoin issuers to invest reserves. BlackRock announced plans to launch its second tokenized fund, although further details have not yet been made public. Fidelity publicly launched its first tokenized fund last week, the Fidelity USD Digital Liquidity Fund (FILQ), which invests in various U.S. dollar government securities.

The U.K. Reconsiders Its Stablecoin Rules: Speaking of stablecoins, the Financial Times reported last week that the Bank of England is considering easing its proposed restrictions on how many stablecoins United Kingdom residents may hold. Under the current proposal, individuals would be limited to £20,000, or around €23,075.

The Bank of England may also lower its planned requirement that at least 40% of the assets backing stablecoins be deposited with the central bank. Those deposits would earn no interest and could not be invested in short-term U.K. government bonds. The possible easing comes after crypto firms argued that the proposed rules were too restrictive and could prevent the U.K. from remaining competitive in the digital economy.

Over time, this could become significant given the size of the U.K. economy and the limited current supply of pound-denominated stablecoins.

Behind the Charts

Chart 1: Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices, Year-to-Date

Firi illustration

Although the U.S. Clarity Act made positive progress last week, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and most of the broader crypto market have struggled since then. Prices did move slightly higher after the bill was approved by the Senate Banking Committee, but they have since fallen sharply, with Bitcoin dropping as low as $76.000 and Ethereum as low as $2.077 this week.

The recent decline in crypto does surely not appear to be driven by the Clarity Act. Instead, the main pressure seems to be coming from the macroeconomic backdrop, as explained below.

Chart 2: Yields on 2-, 10-, and 30-Year U.S. Government Bonds

Firi illustration

Since the war in the Middle East between the U.S. and Israel on one side and Iran on the other, oil and gas prices in particular have risen sharply. This is largely because the Strait of Hormuz has nearly closed. A substantial share of the world’s oil and gas is transported through the strait, and the resulting reduction in global energy supply has pushed prices higher.

As discussed in last week’s Firi Weekly, this has already contributed to higher inflation in both Europe and the U.S. The impact is not limited to home heating and transport. Higher energy costs feed through to almost every part of the economy, including areas such as food.

In response, yields on U.S. government bonds have increased as investors have sold those bonds. The likely reason is that investors believe interest rates should be higher than they are today, given increased inflation and geopolitical risks. On Tuesday, the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 5.2%, its highest level in 19 years, since 2007.

Rising yields, together with the potential for higher interest rates from central banks, are negative for crypto. They make lower-risk investments more attractive relative to crypto, which remains a high-risk asset class.

A Number to Remember

$3 billion

Circle, the issuer of USDC, the second-largest stablecoin, announced last week that it had raised $222 million at a $3 billion valuation for Arc, its blockchain project. The Arc blockchain will mainly focus on facilitating stablecoin transfers.

On Our Radar

On our radar for the foreseeable future:

  • Where the Bond Market Goes Next: The U.S. bond market in particular may continue to tell us a great deal about what investors expect in the short to medium term, especially regarding inflation and whether there may soon be a resolution to the war in the Middle East. This could have a considerable impact on markets, including crypto, so we are watching it closely.
  • Risk of Escalation in the Middle East: This brings us to the war in the Middle East. U.S. President Donald Trump appears to have become increasingly frustrated by the lack of progress toward a permanent deal with Iran, and he has once again threatened to strike the country. Any escalation would likely be negative for crypto markets.
  • Can the Clarity Act Pass Before Summer? If the Clarity Act is to pass the full Senate before the summer, progress needs to continue. We are following this closely, as passage would likely have a fairly significant impact on the crypto market.
Portrait of Mads Eberhardt, Cryptocurrency Analyst at Firi.

Mads Eberhardt

Written 22/05/2026

Should not be considered financial advice. Crypto may involve high risk.